🇦🇷 Argentina — World Cup 2026 Odds

9.00 to win at Tenobet Group J FIFA Rank #3

Defending champions at 9.00

Argentina are 9.00 to win at Tenobet, Unibet AU, TAB and BetRivers — the same price as Brazil and longer than England (7.00). DraftKings and William Hill push to 10.00, Betfair Exchange to 11.00. The market gives Argentina the recency credit of 2022 without backing them as outright favourites.

The Scaloni spine that survived 2022

Lionel Scaloni has held his core together: Emiliano Martínez in goal, Cristian Romero and Lisandro Martínez at the back, Rodrigo De Paul as the midfield engine, and Julián Álvarez carrying the attack. Álvarez’s UCL form for Atletico Madrid in 2025-26 — 9 UCL goals in 12 matches, a single-edition club record — underlines his tournament-football credentials.

Group F path (Tenobet match prices)

  • vs Algeria (17 June, 03:00 CEST): 1.40 / 4.10 / 7.50 — implied 71.4% Argentina win
  • vs Austria (22 June, 19:00 CEST): 1.62 / 3.58 / 5.20 — implied 61.7% Argentina win
  • vs Jordan (28 June, 04:00 CEST): 13.00 / 6.90 / 1.15 as Jordan-home — implied 87% Argentina win

Austria is the live group-stage test — Ralf Rangnick’s side qualified by topping their UEFA group, and at 5.20 they are priced as a real upset chance.

Top scorer markets

Messi is 13.00 at Gambiva — third favourite for the Golden Boot behind Mbappé (7.00) and Kane (8.00). Lautaro Martínez 26.00 and Julián Álvarez 34.00 are also in Gambiva’s top 20.

Best Bet — Messi Top Goalscorer at 13.00

Messi at 13.00 is the most accessible Argentina-specific play. He won the 2022 Golden Ball (not Boot — Mbappé’s 8 to Messi’s 7). At 38, this is almost certainly his final World Cup. If Argentina reach a semi-final, his minutes alone keep him in contention.

Argentina to Win — Book-by-Book

Book (region)OddsImplied %
Tenobet partner 9.00 11.1%
Unibet AU 9.00 11.1%
Betfair AU 11.00 9.1%
TAB AU 9.00 11.1%
DraftKings US 10.00 10.0%
BetRivers US 9.00 11.1%
William Hill UK 10.00 10.0%

Argentina — Top Goalscorer Odds (Gambiva)

Squad members in the Top Goalscorer market at our partner brand Gambiva:

PlayerOdds
Lionel Messi 13.00
Lautaro Martínez 26.00
Julián Álvarez 34.00

Argentina Group-Stage Match Odds

All three group-stage fixtures, 1X2 + Over/Under goals. From our partner brand Tenobet:

MatchKickoff (CEST)1X2O/U total
Argentina v Algeria Jun 17 03:00 1.4 4.1 7.5 1.88/1.84 @ 2.5
Argentina v Austria Jun 22 19:00 1.62 3.58 5.2 1.91/1.81 @ 2.5
Jordan v Argentina Jun 28 04:00 13 6.9 1.15 1.84/1.88 @ 3

Times shown in CEST (UTC+2). Convert +8h for AEST.

Argentina — Tournament Progression Ladder

How Tenobet prices Argentina's path through the tournament. Each row is cumulative ("reach this stage or beyond").

StageOddsImplied %
Reach Quarter-Final2.0050.0%
Reach Semi-Final3.2530.8%
Reach the Final5.0020.0%
Win the World Cup9.0011.1%

Group J — Winner Odds at Tenobet

All four Group J teams priced to top the group:

TeamOdds
Argentina 1.33
Austria 5.50
Algeria 6.50
Jordan 41.00

More World Cup 2026 markets

Compare every team head-to-head on the main World Cup 2026 odds page, or browse our World Cup 2026 Australian betting sites guide for the broader landscape.

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