🇳🇴 Norway — World Cup 2026 Odds

Norway’s first WC since 1998 — and Haaland’s debut

Norway are 26.00 to win at Tenobet and Unibet AU — ninth-shortest in the outright market. The story is Erling Haaland: 50 international goals from 46 matches, including 5 against Moldova on 9 September 2025 (the first male European player to score 5 in a WC qualifier since Hans Krankl in 1977) and a hat-trick vs Israel on 11 October. Captain Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal) anchors the midfield.

Group I path (Tenobet match prices)

• vs Iraq (17 June, 00:00 CEST): 9.20 / 6.00 / 1.23 as Iraq-home — Norway at 1.23 to win = implied 81.3%
• vs Senegal (23 June, 02:00 CEST): 2.03 / 3.41 / 3.29 — implied 49.3% Norway win
• vs France: third group fixture, priced separately

The Iraq fixture is one of the heaviest one-sided lines on the tournament. The Senegal fixture is the structural test.

Top scorer markets

Haaland 15.00 at Gambiva — equal fourth favourite for the Top Goalscorer market with Mikel Oyarzabal. Behind only Mbappé (7.00), Kane (8.00), and Messi (13.00).

Best Bet — Long-Shot Outright at 26.00 (our highlighted pick)

Norway at 26.00 is our Long-Shot Outright pick on the main odds page. If the bracket opens up and Haaland goes on a goal-scoring run akin to qualifying, Norway have the most concentrated star quality in their long-shot tier. The 26.00 line moved from outside top 30 to 9th over the qualifying campaign — the market is alive to the threat.